Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.069038 0.080430 0.093041 0.108030 0.125349 0.144725 0.168039
2024-10-13 0.052082 0.067233 0.085709 0.109858 0.140552 0.178226 0.227949
2024-10-20 0.039685 0.055640 0.076666 0.106317 0.146965 0.200646 0.276837
2024-10-27 0.031544 0.047406 0.069714 0.103232 0.152165 0.220823 0.324294
2024-11-03 0.027166 0.043351 0.067423 0.105617 0.164459 0.251395 0.389260
2024-11-10 0.024387 0.041049 0.067095 0.110462 0.180522 0.288839 0.468463
2024-11-17 0.021682 0.038332 0.065572 0.112976 0.192947 0.321802 0.544335
2024-11-24 0.019099 0.035350 0.063092 0.113395 0.201739 0.349632 0.614798
2024-12-01 0.016823 0.032513 0.060390 0.112924 0.208725 0.374930 0.683522
2024-12-08 0.014785 0.029773 0.057435 0.111503 0.213671 0.396990 0.748740
2024-12-15 0.013706 0.028673 0.057285 0.115133 0.228091 0.437150 0.850599
2024-12-22 0.012708 0.027575 0.056967 0.118338 0.241978 0.477642 0.957261
2024-12-29 0.011858 0.026685 0.056996 0.122349 0.258154 0.524662 1.082649
2025-01-05 0.011019 0.025697 0.056701 0.125672 0.273387 0.571598 1.213373
2025-01-12 0.009666 0.023369 0.053289 0.121979 0.273634 0.588638 1.285526
2025-01-19 0.008516 0.021324 0.050199 0.118548 0.273942 0.605694 1.359401
2025-01-26 0.007957 0.020582 0.049905 0.121302 0.288089 0.653289 1.503542
2025-02-02 0.007634 0.020366 0.050783 0.126850 0.309160 0.717994 1.692038
2025-02-09 0.007167 0.019718 0.050549 0.129727 0.324363 0.771252 1.860461
2025-02-16 0.006608 0.018744 0.049395 0.130207 0.333910 0.812648 2.005987
2025-02-23 0.006053 0.017695 0.047912 0.129669 0.340892 0.848775 2.142909
2025-03-02 0.005504 0.016575 0.046099 0.128043 0.344949 0.878343 2.267154
2025-03-09 0.005265 0.016299 0.046467 0.132194 0.364244 0.946796 2.494013